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Square feet of CBD leases by suburban tenants
Source: JLL Research
Square feet of CBD sublease space
Source: JLL Research
Future large block (100K SF+) vacancies
Source: JLL Research
After a slow first half of the year the trend of suburban tenants relocating
to the CBD picked up in the third quarter. Motorola Solutions, Baxalta, and Kraft
Heinz all signed third quarter leases which together will bring a total of over
400,000 square feet of positive net absorption. Kraft Heinz marks a notable
instance where a large suburban tenant will be relocating its entire operations to
the CBD since Hillshire Brands moved downtown in early 2013. In recent years
we have also seen several suburban tenants opt to open satellite offices
downtownand co-locate operations between the two markets. To date, suburban
companies have leased over 800,000 square feet in the CBD, or 11.1 percent of
the 2015 leasing activity in the city.
Sublease space has expanded in the past four quarters
Space available for sublease is up 60.2 percent from the past year, and almost
450,000 square feet during the third quarter alone. A majority of the third quarter
growth came from Motorola Mobility and ACGME which together added almost
250,000 square feet to the sublease market. The drivers behind these and other
large subleases vary. In cases like Polsinelli and Hyatt, tenants are starting to
market sublease space in anticipationof relocating into new office towers in the
West Loop. For others, subleasing allows the tenant to accommodate their
expanding footprint by relocating into another property. And for Motorola Mobility,
subleasing allows the company to right-size their space for their modern
workforce. Overall, an uptick in sublease availabilities indicates that tenants are
willing to shed current space to proactively move into the offices they need for
the future.
The pipelinefor new residential construction has grown rapidly
JLL has tracked over 15,000 residential units under construction or proposed,
and in the past two weeks alone plans have been announced that will bring
another 1,500 units to the market. A majority of the new announcements are in
the South Loop where over 3,100 units have delivered or been proposed in the
past three years. With the economy expanding and downtown Chicago becoming
increasingly popular for millennials, developers see a reliable source of demand
for the ever-growing supply of residential units.
Downtown migrations and subleases on the rise
2,257
0
400,000
800,000
1,200,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
136,000 100,000
2,105,000
257,000
0
600,000
1,200,000
1,800,000
2015 2016 2017 2018
Office Insight
Chicago CBD | Q3 2015
136,164,036
Total inventory (s.f.)
524,606
Q3 2015 net absorption (s.f.)
$36.87
Direct average asking rent
2,302,164
Total under construction (s.f.)
12.7%
Total vacancy
1,320,505
YTD net absorption (s.f.)
1.1%
12-month rent growth
59.4%
Total preleased
Current conditions – submarket Historical leasing activity (s.f.)
Source: JLL Research Source: JLL Research
Total net absorption (s.f.)
Source: JLL Research
Total vacancy rate (%)
Source: JLL Research
Direct average asking rent ($ p.s.f.)
Source: JLL Research
3,436,188
2,828,556
175,858
-2,381,109
-528,328
382,460
-29,176
620,297
1,922,389
1,320,505
-3,000,000
-2,000,000
-1,000,000
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015
$28.44
$31.15
$33.39
$32.34 $32.73 $32.70
$33.71 $33.64
$36.40 $36.87
$24.00
$28.00
$32.00
$36.00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015
14.3%
12.0% 11.9%
15.8%
16.4% 16.1% 15.8%
15.3%
12.8% 12.7%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015
Landlordleverage
Tenantleverage
Peaking
market
Falling
market
Bottoming
market
Rising
market
8,406,959 8,749,696
8,244,478
9,515,901
7,220,299
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015
©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.For more information, contact: Joe Klosterman | joe.klosterman@am.jll.com and Christian Beaudoin | christian.beaudoin@am.jll.com
West Loop
North Michigan
River West, Central Loop,
East Loop
River North

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Office Insight Q3 2015-Chicago CBD

  • 1. Square feet of CBD leases by suburban tenants Source: JLL Research Square feet of CBD sublease space Source: JLL Research Future large block (100K SF+) vacancies Source: JLL Research After a slow first half of the year the trend of suburban tenants relocating to the CBD picked up in the third quarter. Motorola Solutions, Baxalta, and Kraft Heinz all signed third quarter leases which together will bring a total of over 400,000 square feet of positive net absorption. Kraft Heinz marks a notable instance where a large suburban tenant will be relocating its entire operations to the CBD since Hillshire Brands moved downtown in early 2013. In recent years we have also seen several suburban tenants opt to open satellite offices downtownand co-locate operations between the two markets. To date, suburban companies have leased over 800,000 square feet in the CBD, or 11.1 percent of the 2015 leasing activity in the city. Sublease space has expanded in the past four quarters Space available for sublease is up 60.2 percent from the past year, and almost 450,000 square feet during the third quarter alone. A majority of the third quarter growth came from Motorola Mobility and ACGME which together added almost 250,000 square feet to the sublease market. The drivers behind these and other large subleases vary. In cases like Polsinelli and Hyatt, tenants are starting to market sublease space in anticipationof relocating into new office towers in the West Loop. For others, subleasing allows the tenant to accommodate their expanding footprint by relocating into another property. And for Motorola Mobility, subleasing allows the company to right-size their space for their modern workforce. Overall, an uptick in sublease availabilities indicates that tenants are willing to shed current space to proactively move into the offices they need for the future. The pipelinefor new residential construction has grown rapidly JLL has tracked over 15,000 residential units under construction or proposed, and in the past two weeks alone plans have been announced that will bring another 1,500 units to the market. A majority of the new announcements are in the South Loop where over 3,100 units have delivered or been proposed in the past three years. With the economy expanding and downtown Chicago becoming increasingly popular for millennials, developers see a reliable source of demand for the ever-growing supply of residential units. Downtown migrations and subleases on the rise 2,257 0 400,000 800,000 1,200,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 136,000 100,000 2,105,000 257,000 0 600,000 1,200,000 1,800,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 Office Insight Chicago CBD | Q3 2015 136,164,036 Total inventory (s.f.) 524,606 Q3 2015 net absorption (s.f.) $36.87 Direct average asking rent 2,302,164 Total under construction (s.f.) 12.7% Total vacancy 1,320,505 YTD net absorption (s.f.) 1.1% 12-month rent growth 59.4% Total preleased
  • 2. Current conditions – submarket Historical leasing activity (s.f.) Source: JLL Research Source: JLL Research Total net absorption (s.f.) Source: JLL Research Total vacancy rate (%) Source: JLL Research Direct average asking rent ($ p.s.f.) Source: JLL Research 3,436,188 2,828,556 175,858 -2,381,109 -528,328 382,460 -29,176 620,297 1,922,389 1,320,505 -3,000,000 -2,000,000 -1,000,000 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015 $28.44 $31.15 $33.39 $32.34 $32.73 $32.70 $33.71 $33.64 $36.40 $36.87 $24.00 $28.00 $32.00 $36.00 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015 14.3% 12.0% 11.9% 15.8% 16.4% 16.1% 15.8% 15.3% 12.8% 12.7% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015 Landlordleverage Tenantleverage Peaking market Falling market Bottoming market Rising market 8,406,959 8,749,696 8,244,478 9,515,901 7,220,299 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 2015 ©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.For more information, contact: Joe Klosterman | joe.klosterman@am.jll.com and Christian Beaudoin | christian.beaudoin@am.jll.com West Loop North Michigan River West, Central Loop, East Loop River North
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