2020 Enterprise IT Outlook

A R E A S O N E D 5 Y E A R S P R O J E C T I O N
F O R T E C H N O L O G Y L A N D S C A P E
Enterprise IT 2020 Outlook
Raymond Gao
European University
May, 2015

Current State of EIT*
 Key Drivers
 Market Size
 Expert Predictions
*EIT (Enterprise IT)

Gartner Nexus of Forces – Key Drivers
Source: Gartner 2015
NOW

Market Size as of 2013/2014
Source: TechCrunch / Forrester
It’s a ~$2.1 Trillion Global Market.
Biggest Slices:
• Software
• Devices & Equipment
• IT Outsourcing

Cloud is a Rising Star
Source: GS / Forbes

An Expert Prediction
Forrester thinks, that
SaaS will capture the
lion share of the
business.

Different Perspectives
 Experts views differ in the Growth Rate and the
Numbers.

A Deviant Prognosis
Cisco thinks, the
numbers will be more
evenly distributed.

Now, some Famous Quotes
 The groundhog is like most other prophets; it
delivers its prediction and then disappears.
- Bill Vaughan

Difficulty of Making Predictions
 Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the
future.
-Niels Bohr

Reasoning is More Elegant
 In questions of science, the authority of a thousand is
not worth the humble reasoning of a single
individual.
- Galileo Galilei

My Prognosis
SMIC will RISE.

Social needs 3Rs
 Currently, Almost every major vendor has one or more social applications.

The 3 Rs
 Content should have 3Rs.
 Relevancy
 Richness
 Refined
 Reasoning:
 Remove Social noises.
Relevant
Richness Refined
~Noise~
MEANINGFUL INFORMATION

Example of Irrelevant Contents
 Noise proves Nothing.
- Mark Twain
Don’t care about this and 518 more feeds?

Example of Relevant Content
 To have any Value, Social feeds should be organized
by CONTEXT.

Can Anyone bear this Anymore?
Let’s hope to find a
man, who can still
suffer the green text
on the black
background!

Some say, the price on the right is justified?
Vs.
Please TELL ME, which one is Fairly / Richly priced?

Do you like this burger?
Don’t think so!

If yes, you have gotten REFINED taste buds.
YUMMY!

Next, everyone’s gotten a Selfie.

Even him. Waterproof, too…….

What’s the best Phone and/or Plan?
 When you figured it out, please let me know.

Some say, this will be future …

Want future? Michael F. might know best.

The 2Is.
Intelligent
(Predictive)
Independent
(Autonomous)
Internet Ready

Well, you will need:
 Autonomous (Independent Operating Machines).

For that, you need to read Alan’s works.
Artificial Intelligence

Let’s hope, the aging T800 will fight for Good.

Before, his guy’s prediction realizes.

However, the Cloud King would say:
The rights of every man are
diminished, when the rights of
one man are threatened.
- JFK

I shall quote only:
 “If you can dream it, you can do it.”
- Walt Disney

As for Cloud Computing, it needs:
Simplicity

Simply, NO more Technical Jargons
 For example, IaaS and PaaS will fold into one, “Hosting”.
The boundary between onsite and offsite deployment will blur and disappear, given
multitudes of virtual containers, “Docker”, ESX, OpenStack…

Really, No Cloud is a Continent

As for Big Data people, they might prophesy:
The Apocalypse of RDBMS

I see only this:
In five years, it will be a new world. The war of NoSQL vs. SQL
will be over. The chasm between structured, non-structured,
semi-structured, and stream data will close and Converge.

Important data must be always safe kept; while,
architecture shall be in perfect proportions.
Q: Who redesigned this?

A Hint.
He sculpted this as well.

Furthermore, Knowledge needs to Extent.

We already have tactile technologies.

Yes, today’s buzz word, BI, will sound like
Cockney to you, in five years time.

Let me close - EIT 2020 could be defined by:
3 Rs 2 Is
S 4 Es
3 Rs – Relevant, Rich, and Refined.
2 Is – Independent and Intelligent
1 S – Simplify
4 Es – Extensible, Experience, Evolving,
and Enabling

And, one last quote
 Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take
you everywhere.
- Albert Einstein

Thank You
COOKING Recipes for 2020 coming soon.

2020 Enterprise IT Outlook

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