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VIRAL EPIDEMICS PANDEMICS
CONCERNS AND PREVENTION
fighting uncertain future?
Dr.T.V.Rao MD
5/31/2018Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 1
How to Sensitize on Viral infections
Current topic of importance to Medical
Students
• It is a time to think about training our Medical students on the emerging and
newer challenges associated with Epidemic and pandemic Viral Infection,
NIPAH makes us to realize what are our weaker points to control the
matters in TIME , above all our curriculum to teach Under graduates needs the
revision to make our core Microbiology to be dealt as Infectious diseases
and train better to the present needs of the Society in the changing world of
Infectious diseases
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.Rao MD @ Viral infections 2
Emerging infectious diseases -
Every one at Risk
•In 1992, the Institute of Medicine (IOM) in the
United States produced a report on emerging
infectious diseases (EID), and identified the
following causes: human demographics and
behavior; technology and industry; economic
development and land use; international travel
and commerce; microbial adaptation and
change; breakdown of public health measures.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 3
Why Humans are at
greater Risk Today
• As human beings come to
experience greater
opportunities to be exposed to
animal reservoir host in natural
settings than before, and
because of intensified
international travel, the chance
to encounter emerging disease
epidemic has grown with time,
and the spread of epidemic has
become faster than in the past.5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 4
Ebola taught us Many
realties how difficult
to face the challenges
• Considering these
points, the epidemic of
Ebola virus disease in
West Africa has been
certainly the biggest
threat to mankind in the
first two decades of the
21st century.5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 5
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 6
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 7
The Great
suggestions and to
be adopted
• They suggested better
surveillance, vaccine
and drug development,
vector control
(primarily through
better pesticides) and
behavioral changes
among individuals at
risk.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 8
Emerging Viral
Infections a Concern
• Emerging viral diseases are at the
center of health news right now.
The most significant of them, in
terms of human cases and death
toll, is the re-emergence of Ebola
virus, which is causing the biggest
outbreak of the disease in history.
• India faces a New challenge with
NIPHA viral out break in Kerala
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 9
We have achieved a
great success
• Humans have come a long way in
preventing viral diseases over the
last century. Today, children in
the India and many other
countries . routinely receive
vaccinations against several viral
diseases, including many that
used to cause life-threatening
complications, such as polio.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 10
CDC Achieves a Great success
in Spreading knowledge and
Awareness on Infectious
diseases
• In 1995, the CDC established an
EID-oriented scientific journal,
Emerging Infectious Diseases.
Now in its 18th year, the journal
has published nearly 10,000
articles and has become
standard reading for many in the
disciplines of microbiology,
clinical infectious diseases,
public health, and allied medical
fields
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 11
WHY VIRAL
INFECTIONS ARE
DIFFICULT TO
TREAT
• Viruses are inherently difficult
targets," for modern medicine,
said Derek Gatherer, a
bioinformatics researcher at
Lancaster University in the
United Kingdom. "They have, in
general, smaller genomes than
bacteria," so there are fewer
places to look for ways to
combat them, and many drug
molecules do not reach the
targets to control the spread
and growth .
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 12
Why New
Viral Infections
Emerging
• New viral diseases
typically emerge because
of human activity that
brings people into contact
with wildlife, such as road
building, hunting and
agriculture expansion,
About 75 percent of
emerging diseases in
people come from
animals, according to Eco
Health Alliance.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 13
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 14
The Great Problem with
Viral Infections t cure
• However, although there are
"broad-spectrum" antibiotics,
which are single drugs that work
against dozens of bacteria, the
spectrum for antivirals is much
narrower, . Most antiviral drugs
are specific for one type of virus,
although some work against two
or three.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 15
Epidemics, Pandemics
and Outbreaks
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 16
PREVENTING
VIRAL
INFECTIONS
• What can we do to
prevent outbreaks of
infectious diseases from
becoming epidemics or
pandemic? In this
course, you’ll learn the
facts about infectious
diseases and medical
responses.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 17
BIO SECURITY IS NEW
SCEINTIFIC APPRAOCH
TO STOP SPREADING
VIRAL INFECTIONS
• We should focus on
the public health laws
and policies that
provide the framework
for effective
prevention, like
quarantine laws, drug
development policies,
and bioterrorism and
biodefense
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 18
What we are really
Missing
• What was missing was
consideration of the complex
interactions among the
ecological and social
conditions, what and how we
eat and use water, how we
define waste, how we manage
it, wilderness conservation,
transportation, employment,
meaningful lives, research and
action.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 19
Ways to Stop Spread of
Infections
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 20
SCIENTIFIC ADVANCES HAVE
REDEFINED THE CONCEPT OF EIDs
• Genomics techniques, like PCR
and high-throughput deep and
whole-genome sequencing,
that now greatly facilitate the
discovery of EIDs (e.g., the
etiologic agents of hantavirus
pulmonary syndrome and
Kaposi sarcoma) also reveal
previously unimagined genomic
diversity among microbes.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 21
Molecular Methods shaping
the future control of Viral
Infections
• This diversity includes
complex and evolving
viral quasispecies and
microbes that have
undergone
considerable
interbacterial
horizontal gene
transfer, creating new
phenotypic properties
of virulence and drug
resistance.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 22
In Spite of many
Developments
• Despite extraordinary
progress during the past 2
decades, infectious
diseases still kill 15 million
people each year , and
new and deadly diseases
continue to emerge and
reemerge. The perpetual
nature of the emergence of
infectious diseases poses a
continuing challenge,
which is volatile and ever-
changing.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 23
We have to Fight
Uncertain Future
• The future is ever uncertain,
because unimagined new
diseases surely lie in wait,
ready to emerge
unexpectedly; however, our
ability to detect and
identify them, our
armamentarium of
treatment and prevention
options,5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 24
We lack many matters
to control and prevent
the emerging infections
• Our capacity to
undertake and maintain
basic and applied
research, and our
commitment to
eradicating certain EIDs
have never been greater
• Crowding in
Hospitals a great
threat to life
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 25
How do we cope with
epidemics?
• Countermeasures
against epidemics
can be classified
into specific and
non-specific
measures. Specific
intervention
includes the use of
antibiotics/antivirals
and vaccines.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 26
Specific
Interventions
saves many lives
• They can act very
specifically and directly
against the pathogen or
elicit specific immunity,
and currently approved
specific interventions have
been all demonstrated to
be substantially effective
through epidemiological
studies.5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 27
Non-specific
interventions
• include the case isolation,
contact tracing and quarantine.
Behavioral intervention and
the so-called “social
distancing” such as school
closure are also classified as
non-specific interventions. Due
to the non-specific nature,
these countermeasures are
applicable to a variety of
diseases, e.g., Ebola virus
disease, especially in the
absence of specific
countermeasures.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 28
Creation of
isolation
units in
dangerous
viral
infections
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 29
Will the travel
restrictions Help ?
• Full travel restriction (not a partial
restriction) could effectively delay
the epidemic (e.g. in the case of
Ebola virus disease), but it’s
difficult to fully shut down
communication between two
countries and such a
countermeasure (i.e. complete
shut-down of a border) may not be
fully justified.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 30
Forecasting
Viral
Infections• When it comes to the prediction,
infectious disease modelling has
seldom been successful in forecasting
past epidemics. This is partly due to the
fact that the expectation for our
forecasting in the public has been too
large compared to other applications of
forecasting, e.g. compared to weather
forecast that predicts tomorrow or day
after tomorrow, epidemic models are
frequently expected to predict a moth
or even a year later.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 31
Do you think we will be able to successfully predict and
prevent epidemics from happening in future
•I am sure that we will
eventually be able to
predict emerging
epidemics at a certain
acceptable success
probability. That will
greatly assist associated
prevention and control
programs.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 32
Organizations work
hard to find solutions
• We are on the clear
path to the eventual
full recognition of
emerging infectious
diseases, and
moreover, the
control of existing
vaccine-preventable
infectious diseases
are also on the path
to be well controlled
by respective
immunization
programs.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 33
Hope our
imaginations will
come true ?
• But we should always
consider potential
drawbacks of such successful
future. Once a serious
infectious disease is fully
cleared out from our society,
human susceptible host will
be left as completely naive
to that pathogen.
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 34
TRAINING THE HEALTH CARE
WORKERS A TOPIC PRIORITY
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 35
HUMAN COORDINATION A GREAT
PRIORITY
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 36
Searching current
Information on
Infectious diseases• Other microbiology and general
medical journals emphasizing
EIDs have been established, e.g.,
PLoS Pathogens, or expanded
their coverage of EIDs, e.g., the
Journal of Infectious Diseases and
Vaccine, while mBio and other
journals published by the
American Society for
Microbiology (ASM) have
remained leaders in publishing
important EID-related research.
5/31/2018
Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections
3
7
Hand Hygiene Saves Many Lives
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 38
References and Resources
• Emerging Infectious Diseases in 2012: 20 Years after
the Institute of Medicine Report David M. Morens,
Anthony S. Fauci American Society for Microbiology
• Predicting Epidemics Dr. Hiroshi Nishiura, Editor-in-
Chief of Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling,
• CDC and WHO on Current challenges with spreading
viral infections
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 39
• Program Created by Dr.T.V.Rao MD for Medical,
Nursing and Paramedical Professionals in the
Developing World
•Email
•doctortvrao@gmail.com
5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 40

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VIRAL EPIDEMICS PANDEMICS CONCERNS AND PREVENTION fighting uncertain future?

  • 1. VIRAL EPIDEMICS PANDEMICS CONCERNS AND PREVENTION fighting uncertain future? Dr.T.V.Rao MD 5/31/2018Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 1
  • 2. How to Sensitize on Viral infections Current topic of importance to Medical Students • It is a time to think about training our Medical students on the emerging and newer challenges associated with Epidemic and pandemic Viral Infection, NIPAH makes us to realize what are our weaker points to control the matters in TIME , above all our curriculum to teach Under graduates needs the revision to make our core Microbiology to be dealt as Infectious diseases and train better to the present needs of the Society in the changing world of Infectious diseases 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.Rao MD @ Viral infections 2
  • 3. Emerging infectious diseases - Every one at Risk •In 1992, the Institute of Medicine (IOM) in the United States produced a report on emerging infectious diseases (EID), and identified the following causes: human demographics and behavior; technology and industry; economic development and land use; international travel and commerce; microbial adaptation and change; breakdown of public health measures. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 3
  • 4. Why Humans are at greater Risk Today • As human beings come to experience greater opportunities to be exposed to animal reservoir host in natural settings than before, and because of intensified international travel, the chance to encounter emerging disease epidemic has grown with time, and the spread of epidemic has become faster than in the past.5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 4
  • 5. Ebola taught us Many realties how difficult to face the challenges • Considering these points, the epidemic of Ebola virus disease in West Africa has been certainly the biggest threat to mankind in the first two decades of the 21st century.5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 5
  • 6. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 6
  • 7. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 7
  • 8. The Great suggestions and to be adopted • They suggested better surveillance, vaccine and drug development, vector control (primarily through better pesticides) and behavioral changes among individuals at risk. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 8
  • 9. Emerging Viral Infections a Concern • Emerging viral diseases are at the center of health news right now. The most significant of them, in terms of human cases and death toll, is the re-emergence of Ebola virus, which is causing the biggest outbreak of the disease in history. • India faces a New challenge with NIPHA viral out break in Kerala 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 9
  • 10. We have achieved a great success • Humans have come a long way in preventing viral diseases over the last century. Today, children in the India and many other countries . routinely receive vaccinations against several viral diseases, including many that used to cause life-threatening complications, such as polio. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 10
  • 11. CDC Achieves a Great success in Spreading knowledge and Awareness on Infectious diseases • In 1995, the CDC established an EID-oriented scientific journal, Emerging Infectious Diseases. Now in its 18th year, the journal has published nearly 10,000 articles and has become standard reading for many in the disciplines of microbiology, clinical infectious diseases, public health, and allied medical fields 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 11
  • 12. WHY VIRAL INFECTIONS ARE DIFFICULT TO TREAT • Viruses are inherently difficult targets," for modern medicine, said Derek Gatherer, a bioinformatics researcher at Lancaster University in the United Kingdom. "They have, in general, smaller genomes than bacteria," so there are fewer places to look for ways to combat them, and many drug molecules do not reach the targets to control the spread and growth . 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 12
  • 13. Why New Viral Infections Emerging • New viral diseases typically emerge because of human activity that brings people into contact with wildlife, such as road building, hunting and agriculture expansion, About 75 percent of emerging diseases in people come from animals, according to Eco Health Alliance. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 13
  • 14. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 14
  • 15. The Great Problem with Viral Infections t cure • However, although there are "broad-spectrum" antibiotics, which are single drugs that work against dozens of bacteria, the spectrum for antivirals is much narrower, . Most antiviral drugs are specific for one type of virus, although some work against two or three. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 15
  • 16. Epidemics, Pandemics and Outbreaks 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 16
  • 17. PREVENTING VIRAL INFECTIONS • What can we do to prevent outbreaks of infectious diseases from becoming epidemics or pandemic? In this course, you’ll learn the facts about infectious diseases and medical responses. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 17
  • 18. BIO SECURITY IS NEW SCEINTIFIC APPRAOCH TO STOP SPREADING VIRAL INFECTIONS • We should focus on the public health laws and policies that provide the framework for effective prevention, like quarantine laws, drug development policies, and bioterrorism and biodefense 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 18
  • 19. What we are really Missing • What was missing was consideration of the complex interactions among the ecological and social conditions, what and how we eat and use water, how we define waste, how we manage it, wilderness conservation, transportation, employment, meaningful lives, research and action. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 19
  • 20. Ways to Stop Spread of Infections 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 20
  • 21. SCIENTIFIC ADVANCES HAVE REDEFINED THE CONCEPT OF EIDs • Genomics techniques, like PCR and high-throughput deep and whole-genome sequencing, that now greatly facilitate the discovery of EIDs (e.g., the etiologic agents of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome and Kaposi sarcoma) also reveal previously unimagined genomic diversity among microbes. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 21
  • 22. Molecular Methods shaping the future control of Viral Infections • This diversity includes complex and evolving viral quasispecies and microbes that have undergone considerable interbacterial horizontal gene transfer, creating new phenotypic properties of virulence and drug resistance. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 22
  • 23. In Spite of many Developments • Despite extraordinary progress during the past 2 decades, infectious diseases still kill 15 million people each year , and new and deadly diseases continue to emerge and reemerge. The perpetual nature of the emergence of infectious diseases poses a continuing challenge, which is volatile and ever- changing. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 23
  • 24. We have to Fight Uncertain Future • The future is ever uncertain, because unimagined new diseases surely lie in wait, ready to emerge unexpectedly; however, our ability to detect and identify them, our armamentarium of treatment and prevention options,5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 24
  • 25. We lack many matters to control and prevent the emerging infections • Our capacity to undertake and maintain basic and applied research, and our commitment to eradicating certain EIDs have never been greater • Crowding in Hospitals a great threat to life 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 25
  • 26. How do we cope with epidemics? • Countermeasures against epidemics can be classified into specific and non-specific measures. Specific intervention includes the use of antibiotics/antivirals and vaccines. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 26
  • 27. Specific Interventions saves many lives • They can act very specifically and directly against the pathogen or elicit specific immunity, and currently approved specific interventions have been all demonstrated to be substantially effective through epidemiological studies.5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 27
  • 28. Non-specific interventions • include the case isolation, contact tracing and quarantine. Behavioral intervention and the so-called “social distancing” such as school closure are also classified as non-specific interventions. Due to the non-specific nature, these countermeasures are applicable to a variety of diseases, e.g., Ebola virus disease, especially in the absence of specific countermeasures. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 28
  • 30. Will the travel restrictions Help ? • Full travel restriction (not a partial restriction) could effectively delay the epidemic (e.g. in the case of Ebola virus disease), but it’s difficult to fully shut down communication between two countries and such a countermeasure (i.e. complete shut-down of a border) may not be fully justified. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 30
  • 31. Forecasting Viral Infections• When it comes to the prediction, infectious disease modelling has seldom been successful in forecasting past epidemics. This is partly due to the fact that the expectation for our forecasting in the public has been too large compared to other applications of forecasting, e.g. compared to weather forecast that predicts tomorrow or day after tomorrow, epidemic models are frequently expected to predict a moth or even a year later. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 31
  • 32. Do you think we will be able to successfully predict and prevent epidemics from happening in future •I am sure that we will eventually be able to predict emerging epidemics at a certain acceptable success probability. That will greatly assist associated prevention and control programs. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 32
  • 33. Organizations work hard to find solutions • We are on the clear path to the eventual full recognition of emerging infectious diseases, and moreover, the control of existing vaccine-preventable infectious diseases are also on the path to be well controlled by respective immunization programs. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 33
  • 34. Hope our imaginations will come true ? • But we should always consider potential drawbacks of such successful future. Once a serious infectious disease is fully cleared out from our society, human susceptible host will be left as completely naive to that pathogen. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 34
  • 35. TRAINING THE HEALTH CARE WORKERS A TOPIC PRIORITY 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 35
  • 36. HUMAN COORDINATION A GREAT PRIORITY 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 36
  • 37. Searching current Information on Infectious diseases• Other microbiology and general medical journals emphasizing EIDs have been established, e.g., PLoS Pathogens, or expanded their coverage of EIDs, e.g., the Journal of Infectious Diseases and Vaccine, while mBio and other journals published by the American Society for Microbiology (ASM) have remained leaders in publishing important EID-related research. 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 3 7
  • 38. Hand Hygiene Saves Many Lives 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 38
  • 39. References and Resources • Emerging Infectious Diseases in 2012: 20 Years after the Institute of Medicine Report David M. Morens, Anthony S. Fauci American Society for Microbiology • Predicting Epidemics Dr. Hiroshi Nishiura, Editor-in- Chief of Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling, • CDC and WHO on Current challenges with spreading viral infections 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 39
  • 40. • Program Created by Dr.T.V.Rao MD for Medical, Nursing and Paramedical Professionals in the Developing World •Email •doctortvrao@gmail.com 5/31/2018 Dr.T.V.RaO MD @ Viral infections 40
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