The document discusses probabilistic retrieval models in information retrieval. It introduces three influential probabilistic models: (1) Maron and Kuhns' 1960 model which calculates the probability of relevance based on historical user data; (2) Salton's model which estimates the probability of term occurrence in relevant documents; (3) A model that ranks documents by the probability of relevance and considers retrieval as a decision between costs of retrieving non-relevant vs. not retrieving relevant documents. The document provides background on the development of probabilistic IR models and challenges of estimating probabilities for evaluation.