尊敬的 微信汇率:1円 ≈ 0.046166 元 支付宝汇率:1円 ≈ 0.046257元 [退出登录]
SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Artificial Intelligence:
Perspectives and Challenges
Michael I. Jordan
University of California, Berkeley
July 17, 2018
Machine Learning (aka, AI)
• First Generation (‘90-’00): the backend
– e.g., fraud detection, search, supply-chain management
• Second Generation (‘00-’10): the human side
– e.g., recommendation systems, commerce, social media
• Third Generation (‘10-now): end-to-end
– e.g., speech recognition, computer vision, translation
• Fourth Generation (emerging): markets
– not just one agent making a decision or sequence of decisions
– but a huge interconnected web of data, agents, decisions
– many new challenges!
Perspectives on AI
• The classical “human-imitative” perspective
– cf. AI in the movies, interactive home robotics
• The “intelligence augmentation” (IA) perspective
– cf. search engines, recommendation systems, natural language
translation
– the system need not be intelligent itself, but it reveals patterns
that humans can make use of
• The “intelligent infrastructure” (II) perspective
– cf. transportation, intelligent dwellings, urban planning
– large-scale, distributed collections of data flows and loosely-
coupled decisions
Human-Imitative AI: Where Are We?
• Computer vision
– Possible: labeling of objects in visual scenes
– Not Yet Possible: common-sense understanding of visual scenes
• Speech recognition
– Possible: speech-to-text and text-to-speech in a wide range of languages
– Not Yet Possible: common-sense understanding of auditory scenes
• Natural language processing
– Possible: minimally adequate translation and question-answering
– Not Yet Possible: semantic understanding, dialog
• Robotics
– Possible: industrial programmed robots
– Not Yet Possible: robots that interact meaningfully with humans and can
operate autonomously over long time horizons
Human-Imitative AI Isn’t the Right Goal
• Problems studied from the “human-imitative” perspective
aren’t necessarily the same as those that arise in the IA
or II perspectives
– unfortunately, the “AI solutions” being deployed for the latter are
often those developed in service of the former
Human-Imitative AI Isn’t the Right Goal
• Problems studied from the “human-imitative” perspective
aren’t necessarily the same as those that arise in the IA
or II perspectives
– unfortunately, the “AI solutions” being deployed for the latter are
often those developed in service of the former
• To make an overall system behave intelligently, it is
neither necessary or sufficient to make each component
of the system be intelligent
Human-Imitative AI Isn’t the Right Goal
• Problems studied from the “human-imitative” perspective
aren’t necessarily the same as those that arise in the IA
or II perspectives
– unfortunately, the “AI solutions” being deployed for the latter are
often those developed in service of the former
• To make an overall system behave intelligently, it is
neither necessary or sufficient to make each component
of the system be intelligent
• “Autonomy” shouldn’t be our main goal; rather our goal
should be the development of small pieces of
intelligence that work well with each other and with
humans
Near-Term Challenges in II
• Error control for multiple decisions
• Systems that create markets
• Designing systems that can provide meaningful, calibrated notions of their
uncertainty
• Managing cloud-edge interactions
• Designing systems that can find abstractions quickly
• Provenance in systems that learn and predict
• Designing systems that can explain their decisions
• Finding causes and performing causal reasoning
• Systems that pursue long-term goals, and actively collect data in service of
those goals
• Achieving real-time performance goals
• Achieving fairness and diversity
• Robustness in the face of unexpected situations
• Robustness in the face of adversaries
• Sharing data among individuals and organizations
• Protecting privacy and data ownership
Multiple Decisions: The Load-Balancing
Problem
• In many problems, a system doesn’t make just a single
decision, or a sequence of decisions, but huge numbers
of linked decisions in each moment
– those decisions often interact
Multiple Decisions: The Load-Balancing
Problem
• In many problems, a system doesn’t make just a single
decision, or a sequence of decisions, but huge numbers
of linked decisions in each moment
– those decisions often interact
• They interact when there is a scarcity of resources
• To manage scarcity of resources at large scale, with
huge uncertainty, algorithms (“AI”) aren’t enough
Multiple Decisions: The Load-Balancing
Problem
• In many problems, a system doesn’t make just a single
decision, or a sequence of decisions, but huge numbers
of linked decisions in each moment
– those decisions often interact
• They interact when there is a scarcity of resources
• To manage scarcity of resources at large scale, with
huge uncertainty, algorithms (“AI”) aren’t enough
• There is an emerging need to build AI systems that
create markets; i.e., blending statistics, economics and
computer science
Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing
• Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good
business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular)
Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing
• Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good
business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular)
• Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone?
Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing
• Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good
business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular)
• Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone?
Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing
• Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good
business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular)
• Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same restaurant to everyone?
Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing
• Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good
business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular)
• Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same restaurant to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same street to every driver?
Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing
• Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good
business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular)
• Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same restaurant to everyone?
• Is it OK to recommend the same street to every driver?
• Is it OK to recommend the same stock purchase to
everyone?
Multiple Decisions: The Statistical Problem
Data and Markets
• Where data flows, economic value can flow
• Data allows prices to be formed, and offers and sales to
be made
• The market can provide load-balancing, because the
producers only make offers when they have a surplus
• Load balancing isn’t the only consequence of creating a
market
• It’s also a way that AI can create jobs
Example: Music in the Data Age
• More people are making music than ever before
• More people are listening to music than ever before
Example: Music in the Data Age
• More people are making music than ever before
• More people are listening to music than ever before
• But there is no economic value being exchanged
• And most people who make music cannot do it as their
full-time job
An Example: United Masters
• United Masters partners with sites such as Spotify,
Pandora and YouTube, using ML to figure out which
people listen to which musicians
• They provide a dashboard to musicians, letting them
learn where their audience is
• The musician can give concerts where they have an
audience
• And they can make offers to their fans
An Example: United Masters
• United Masters partners with sites such as Spotify,
Pandora and YouTube, using ML to figure out which
people listen to which musicians
• They provide a dashboard to musicians, letting them
learn where their audience is
• The musician can give concerts where they have an
audience
• And they can make offers to their fans
• I.e., consumers and producers become linked, and value
flows: a market is created
• The company that creates this market profits
Summary
• ML (AI) has come of age
• But it is far from being a solid engineering discipline that
can yield robust, scalable solutions to modern data-
analytic problems
• There are many hard problems involving uncertainty,
inference, decision-making, robustness and scale that
are far from being solved
– not to mention economic, social and legal issues

More Related Content

Similar to Plenary-Open-Dr.Jordan-AI-Presentation.pdf

Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...
Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...
Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...
Micah Altman
 
German Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change Workshop
German Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change WorkshopGerman Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change Workshop
German Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change Workshop
Colin Habberton
 
Rethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and ML
Rethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and MLRethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and ML
Rethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and ML
Peter Wang
 
Action to empathy
Action to empathyAction to empathy
Action to empathy
lmittler
 
GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?
GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?
GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?
Stephen Rhind-Tutt
 
Ethical Questions for Producing Pervasive Media
Ethical Questions for Producing Pervasive MediaEthical Questions for Producing Pervasive Media
Ethical Questions for Producing Pervasive Media
Digital Cultures Research Centre
 
Michael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the Beholder
Michael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the BeholderMichael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the Beholder
Michael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the Beholder
Michael Edson
 
Challenges of social media analysis in the real world
Challenges of social media analysis in the real worldChallenges of social media analysis in the real world
Challenges of social media analysis in the real world
Diana Maynard
 
Value of an idea in the era of social media
Value of an idea in the era of social mediaValue of an idea in the era of social media
Value of an idea in the era of social media
Laurent François
 
How to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web Design
How to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web DesignHow to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web Design
How to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web Design
Morten Rand-Hendriksen
 
Five UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, Germany
Five UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, GermanyFive UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, Germany
Five UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, Germany
Eric Reiss
 
Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...
Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...
Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...
Sasin Entrepreneurship Center
 
What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)
What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)
What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)
Dave LaFontaine
 
03 dllo davidlafontaine
03 dllo davidlafontaine03 dllo davidlafontaine
03 dllo davidlafontaine
Ministerio TIC Colombia
 
CIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdf
CIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdfCIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdf
CIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdf
Stephen Abram
 
Recipes to make your own city smart
Recipes to make your own city smartRecipes to make your own city smart
Recipes to make your own city smart
Edoardo Calia
 
Regulating Artificial Intelligence
Regulating Artificial IntelligenceRegulating Artificial Intelligence
Regulating Artificial Intelligence
orrenprunckun
 
Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?
Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?
Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?
David Mullings
 
Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017
Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017 Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017
Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017
TechSoup
 
Week3 - Production
Week3 - ProductionWeek3 - Production
Week3 - Production
Fabian Mauricio Prieto-Nanez
 

Similar to Plenary-Open-Dr.Jordan-AI-Presentation.pdf (20)

Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...
Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...
Making Decisions in a World Awash in Data: We’re going to need a different bo...
 
German Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change Workshop
German Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change WorkshopGerman Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change Workshop
German Fundraising Congress 2015 - Disruptive Change Workshop
 
Rethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and ML
Rethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and MLRethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and ML
Rethinking OSS In An Era of Cloud and ML
 
Action to empathy
Action to empathyAction to empathy
Action to empathy
 
GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?
GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?
GWU Ethics in Publishing 2015 - Is is ethical for publishers to make a profit?
 
Ethical Questions for Producing Pervasive Media
Ethical Questions for Producing Pervasive MediaEthical Questions for Producing Pervasive Media
Ethical Questions for Producing Pervasive Media
 
Michael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the Beholder
Michael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the BeholderMichael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the Beholder
Michael Edson @ Potomac Forum: Relevance is in the Eyes of the Beholder
 
Challenges of social media analysis in the real world
Challenges of social media analysis in the real worldChallenges of social media analysis in the real world
Challenges of social media analysis in the real world
 
Value of an idea in the era of social media
Value of an idea in the era of social mediaValue of an idea in the era of social media
Value of an idea in the era of social media
 
How to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web Design
How to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web DesignHow to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web Design
How to Not Destroy the World - the Ethics of Web Design
 
Five UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, Germany
Five UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, GermanyFive UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, Germany
Five UX myths - UXCE16, Berlin, Germany
 
Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...
Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...
Sasin May Sundowner - Entrepreneurial Strategy: A contradiction in terms by P...
 
What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)
What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)
What is a Creative Date Scientist (and why the $@%! do we need one?)
 
03 dllo davidlafontaine
03 dllo davidlafontaine03 dllo davidlafontaine
03 dllo davidlafontaine
 
CIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdf
CIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdfCIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdf
CIL Stats Workshop April1 2022 Abram Silk.pdf
 
Recipes to make your own city smart
Recipes to make your own city smartRecipes to make your own city smart
Recipes to make your own city smart
 
Regulating Artificial Intelligence
Regulating Artificial IntelligenceRegulating Artificial Intelligence
Regulating Artificial Intelligence
 
Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?
Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?
Social Media: Efficient Tool or Wasteful Distraction?
 
Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017
Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017 Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017
Webinar - Authentic Storytelling with Greenpeace: A 10 Step Process 09-14-2017
 
Week3 - Production
Week3 - ProductionWeek3 - Production
Week3 - Production
 

Recently uploaded

My Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdf
My Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdfMy Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdf
My Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdf
Geoffrey Wardle. MSc. MSc. Snr.MAIAA
 
College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...
College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...
College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...
Ak47
 
Kandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book Now
Kandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book NowKandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book Now
Kandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book Now
SONALI Batra $A12
 
Data Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdf
Data Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdfData Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdf
Data Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdf
Kamal Acharya
 
Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7
Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7
Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7
sexytaniya455
 
Asymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdf
Asymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdfAsymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdf
Asymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdf
felixwold
 
🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...
🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...
🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...
aarusi sexy model
 
Call Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call Girl
Call Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call GirlCall Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call Girl
Call Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call Girl
sapna sharmap11
 
High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...
High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...
High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...
dABGO KI CITy kUSHINAGAR Ak47
 
SELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdf
SELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdfSELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdf
SELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdf
Pallavi Sharma
 
❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...
❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...
❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...
nainakaoornoida
 
Intuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sde
Intuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sdeIntuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sde
Intuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sde
ShivangMishra54
 
🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...
🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...
🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...
AK47
 
Call Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls Chennai
Call Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls ChennaiCall Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls Chennai
Call Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls Chennai
paraasingh12 #V08
 
Cuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort Service
Cuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort ServiceCuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort Service
Cuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort Service
yakranividhrini
 
Sri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdf
Sri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdfSri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdf
Sri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdf
Balvir Singh
 
Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...
Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...
Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...
IJCNCJournal
 
Call Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 Minutes
Call Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 MinutesCall Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 Minutes
Call Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 Minutes
kamka4105
 
SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )
SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )
SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )
Tsuyoshi Horigome
 
一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理
gapboxn
 

Recently uploaded (20)

My Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdf
My Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdfMy Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdf
My Airframe Metallic Design Capability Studies..pdf
 
College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...
College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...
College Call Girls Kolkata 🔥 7014168258 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Available...
 
Kandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book Now
Kandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book NowKandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book Now
Kandivali Call Girls ☑ +91-9967584737 ☑ Available Hot Girls Aunty Book Now
 
Data Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdf
Data Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdfData Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdf
Data Communication and Computer Networks Management System Project Report.pdf
 
Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7
Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7
Call Girls Nagpur 8824825030 Escort In Nagpur service 24X7
 
Asymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdf
Asymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdfAsymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdf
Asymmetrical Repulsion Magnet Motor Ratio 6-7.pdf
 
🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...
🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...
🔥 Hyderabad Call Girls  👉 9352988975 👫 High Profile Call Girls Whatsapp Numbe...
 
Call Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call Girl
Call Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call GirlCall Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call Girl
Call Girls Goa (india) ☎️ +91-7426014248 Goa Call Girl
 
High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...
High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...
High Profile Call Girls Ahmedabad 🔥 7737669865 🔥 Real Fun With Sexual Girl Av...
 
SELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdf
SELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdfSELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdf
SELENIUM CONF -PALLAVI SHARMA - 2024.pdf
 
❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...
❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...
❣Independent Call Girls Chennai 💯Call Us 🔝 7737669865 🔝💃Independent Chennai E...
 
Intuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sde
Intuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sdeIntuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sde
Intuit CRAFT demonstration presentation for sde
 
🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...
🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...
🔥Independent Call Girls In Pune 💯Call Us 🔝 7014168258 🔝💃Independent Pune Esco...
 
Call Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls Chennai
Call Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls ChennaiCall Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls Chennai
Call Girls Chennai +91-8824825030 Vip Call Girls Chennai
 
Cuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort Service
Cuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort ServiceCuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort Service
Cuttack Call Girls 💯Call Us 🔝 7374876321 🔝 💃 Independent Female Escort Service
 
Sri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdf
Sri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdfSri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdf
Sri Guru Hargobind Ji - Bandi Chor Guru.pdf
 
Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...
Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...
Particle Swarm Optimization–Long Short-Term Memory based Channel Estimation w...
 
Call Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 Minutes
Call Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 MinutesCall Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 Minutes
Call Girls In Tiruppur 👯‍♀️ 7339748667 🔥 Free Home Delivery Within 30 Minutes
 
SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )
SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )
SPICE PARK JUL2024 ( 6,866 SPICE Models )
 
一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UO毕业证)渥太华大学毕业证如何办理
 

Plenary-Open-Dr.Jordan-AI-Presentation.pdf

  • 1. Artificial Intelligence: Perspectives and Challenges Michael I. Jordan University of California, Berkeley July 17, 2018
  • 2. Machine Learning (aka, AI) • First Generation (‘90-’00): the backend – e.g., fraud detection, search, supply-chain management • Second Generation (‘00-’10): the human side – e.g., recommendation systems, commerce, social media • Third Generation (‘10-now): end-to-end – e.g., speech recognition, computer vision, translation • Fourth Generation (emerging): markets – not just one agent making a decision or sequence of decisions – but a huge interconnected web of data, agents, decisions – many new challenges!
  • 3. Perspectives on AI • The classical “human-imitative” perspective – cf. AI in the movies, interactive home robotics • The “intelligence augmentation” (IA) perspective – cf. search engines, recommendation systems, natural language translation – the system need not be intelligent itself, but it reveals patterns that humans can make use of • The “intelligent infrastructure” (II) perspective – cf. transportation, intelligent dwellings, urban planning – large-scale, distributed collections of data flows and loosely- coupled decisions
  • 4. Human-Imitative AI: Where Are We? • Computer vision – Possible: labeling of objects in visual scenes – Not Yet Possible: common-sense understanding of visual scenes • Speech recognition – Possible: speech-to-text and text-to-speech in a wide range of languages – Not Yet Possible: common-sense understanding of auditory scenes • Natural language processing – Possible: minimally adequate translation and question-answering – Not Yet Possible: semantic understanding, dialog • Robotics – Possible: industrial programmed robots – Not Yet Possible: robots that interact meaningfully with humans and can operate autonomously over long time horizons
  • 5. Human-Imitative AI Isn’t the Right Goal • Problems studied from the “human-imitative” perspective aren’t necessarily the same as those that arise in the IA or II perspectives – unfortunately, the “AI solutions” being deployed for the latter are often those developed in service of the former
  • 6. Human-Imitative AI Isn’t the Right Goal • Problems studied from the “human-imitative” perspective aren’t necessarily the same as those that arise in the IA or II perspectives – unfortunately, the “AI solutions” being deployed for the latter are often those developed in service of the former • To make an overall system behave intelligently, it is neither necessary or sufficient to make each component of the system be intelligent
  • 7. Human-Imitative AI Isn’t the Right Goal • Problems studied from the “human-imitative” perspective aren’t necessarily the same as those that arise in the IA or II perspectives – unfortunately, the “AI solutions” being deployed for the latter are often those developed in service of the former • To make an overall system behave intelligently, it is neither necessary or sufficient to make each component of the system be intelligent • “Autonomy” shouldn’t be our main goal; rather our goal should be the development of small pieces of intelligence that work well with each other and with humans
  • 8. Near-Term Challenges in II • Error control for multiple decisions • Systems that create markets • Designing systems that can provide meaningful, calibrated notions of their uncertainty • Managing cloud-edge interactions • Designing systems that can find abstractions quickly • Provenance in systems that learn and predict • Designing systems that can explain their decisions • Finding causes and performing causal reasoning • Systems that pursue long-term goals, and actively collect data in service of those goals • Achieving real-time performance goals • Achieving fairness and diversity • Robustness in the face of unexpected situations • Robustness in the face of adversaries • Sharing data among individuals and organizations • Protecting privacy and data ownership
  • 9. Multiple Decisions: The Load-Balancing Problem • In many problems, a system doesn’t make just a single decision, or a sequence of decisions, but huge numbers of linked decisions in each moment – those decisions often interact
  • 10. Multiple Decisions: The Load-Balancing Problem • In many problems, a system doesn’t make just a single decision, or a sequence of decisions, but huge numbers of linked decisions in each moment – those decisions often interact • They interact when there is a scarcity of resources • To manage scarcity of resources at large scale, with huge uncertainty, algorithms (“AI”) aren’t enough
  • 11. Multiple Decisions: The Load-Balancing Problem • In many problems, a system doesn’t make just a single decision, or a sequence of decisions, but huge numbers of linked decisions in each moment – those decisions often interact • They interact when there is a scarcity of resources • To manage scarcity of resources at large scale, with huge uncertainty, algorithms (“AI”) aren’t enough • There is an emerging need to build AI systems that create markets; i.e., blending statistics, economics and computer science
  • 12. Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing • Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular)
  • 13. Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing • Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular) • Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone?
  • 14. Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing • Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular) • Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone?
  • 15. Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing • Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular) • Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same restaurant to everyone?
  • 16. Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing • Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular) • Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same restaurant to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same street to every driver?
  • 17. Multiple Decisions: Load Balancing • Suppose that recommending a certain movie is a good business decision (e.g., because it’s very popular) • Is it OK to recommend the same movie to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same book to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same restaurant to everyone? • Is it OK to recommend the same street to every driver? • Is it OK to recommend the same stock purchase to everyone?
  • 18. Multiple Decisions: The Statistical Problem
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Data and Markets • Where data flows, economic value can flow • Data allows prices to be formed, and offers and sales to be made • The market can provide load-balancing, because the producers only make offers when they have a surplus • Load balancing isn’t the only consequence of creating a market • It’s also a way that AI can create jobs
  • 22. Example: Music in the Data Age • More people are making music than ever before • More people are listening to music than ever before
  • 23. Example: Music in the Data Age • More people are making music than ever before • More people are listening to music than ever before • But there is no economic value being exchanged • And most people who make music cannot do it as their full-time job
  • 24. An Example: United Masters • United Masters partners with sites such as Spotify, Pandora and YouTube, using ML to figure out which people listen to which musicians • They provide a dashboard to musicians, letting them learn where their audience is • The musician can give concerts where they have an audience • And they can make offers to their fans
  • 25. An Example: United Masters • United Masters partners with sites such as Spotify, Pandora and YouTube, using ML to figure out which people listen to which musicians • They provide a dashboard to musicians, letting them learn where their audience is • The musician can give concerts where they have an audience • And they can make offers to their fans • I.e., consumers and producers become linked, and value flows: a market is created • The company that creates this market profits
  • 26. Summary • ML (AI) has come of age • But it is far from being a solid engineering discipline that can yield robust, scalable solutions to modern data- analytic problems • There are many hard problems involving uncertainty, inference, decision-making, robustness and scale that are far from being solved – not to mention economic, social and legal issues
  翻译: