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Thesis Presentation
on
GIS and Remote Sensing based Study of Flood Risk Management
by
Amit Kumar Saha
2017GI12
M.Tech IVth Sem
GIS Cell
Under the supervision of
Dr. Sonam Agrawal
Assistant Professor
GIS Cell
GIS Cell
Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology Allahabad
• Introduction
• Literature review
• Summary table
• Research gap
• Research objectives
• Study area
• Data Required
• Methodology
• Result and Discussion
• Conclusions
• References
Contents
• Flood is an overflow of water that submerges usually dry area.
• Flood is a hydrological and meteorological disaster.
• Flood occurs due to overflow of water bodies by high precipitation and
snow melt.
• Water flow rate change in terms of seasons and path of flow are the other
usual causes of flooding.
• There are different types of floods as flash flood ,river flood , coastal flood,
urban flood.
• Flood is one of the most the most re-occurring natural hazard in the states
of India like Bihar, Assam, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Uttarakhand.
• Remote sensing and GIS plays an important role in mapping, monitoring
and providing spatial database for flood related studies.
• A recent catastrophic flood event in Kerala has taken more than 400 lives
and affected a total of more than a million people.
• This work is oriented towards waterlog flood disaster in the study area.
Introduction
• Flood
• GIS analysis
• Multi Criteria Analysis
• Land use land cover
• Factors that Effects Flood
• Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)
Literature review
• Flood is one of the common hydrological phenomena which is to a large
extent unpredictable and uncontrollable (Seenirajanet et al., 2017).
• Floods are one of the most common and devastating hydro meteorological
hazards worldwide, causing both economic losses and human fatalities
(González-Arqueros et al., 2018).
• The main causes of changes in flood risk are climatic change, changes in
land use and other anthropogenic interventions(George P. Karatzas, 2011).
• Recently, a study of 616 cities around the world indicated that floods
endanger more cities than any other natural hazard, followed by
earthquakes and storms(Xiao et al., 2017).
• India is one of the most flood-prone country in the world after Bangladesh,
and roughly one eighth of the country’s geographical area, is prone to
floods (Singh and Kumar, 2017).
• The extremely long series of floodless years may encourage the locals to
downplay the flood damage, leading to an overall neglect in the
maintenance of drainage ways(Ghoneim and Foody, 2013).
Flood
• Applications of geospatial science allow analysis on
four stages in flood management: flood prediction, flood preparation, flood
prevention and flood damage assessment(Wan and Billa, 2018).
• Utilization of recent technologies, such as the Geographic Information
Systems (GIS) and remote sensing, in developing flood hazard
maps is gaining increasing attention in the last couple of
decades(Dawod et al., 2013).
• Areas with higher flooding susceptibility based on input factors can be
defined by means of the weighted overlay technique in GIS(González-
Arqueros et al., 2018).
• The relative importance of the criteria can be estimated through fuzzy
analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method followed by ordered weighted
averaging(Xiao,Yi et al.,2017).
GIS analysis
• Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) is a quantitative approach for integrating
multiple criteria layers for risk or vulnerability assessment(Luu et al., 2018;
Tang et al.,2018).
• MCA is a decision-making tool developed for solving complex multi-
criteria problems that include qualitative and/or quantitative aspects of the
problem(Roy, Chakravarthi et al.,2018).
• Multi Criteria Analysis(MCA) method includes the ideas of ranking and
weighting with the knowledge of experts is an index-based method which
provides an effective way of estimating the flood hazard(Xiao et al., 2017).
• Flood risk assessment is realized by the product of flood hazard zonation
and the sum of vulnerabilities derived from various vulnerability indicators
and criteria followed in deducing the social, infrastructure and land use
parameters, (Roy, Chakravarthi et al.,2018) represented by
Flood risk assessment = Hazard X f {Social, Infrastructure, Land use
Vulnerabilities}
Multi Criteria Analysis
LULC
• Land cover is the physical material at the surface of the earth. Land
covers include grass, asphalt, trees, bare ground, water, etc. (Cherqui
et al., 2015).
• This is the manner in which human beings employ the land and its
resources (Hong et al., 2017).
• This description of the appearance of the landscape and is generally
classified by the amount and type of vegetation, which is a reflection of its
use, environment, cultivation and seasonal phenology. Land cover is other
essential factor influences on runoff (Alexakis et al., 2014).
• Human activity have caused a net loss of 7 to 11million sq.km of forest in
the past 300 years, thus reducing the forest cover worldwide (Foley et al.,
2005).
• Many land-use practices, such as fuel-wood collection, forest grazing, and
road expansion can degrade forest ecosystem conditions even without
changing forest area (Nepstad et al., 1999).
• Elevation is the fundamental presentation of the topographic characteristic.
In many previous studies on flood risk assessment, DEM was directly used
as an assessment layer (Sarker and Sivertun, 2011).
• Slope indicates a degree of elevation variability in adjacent grid cells. The
flood is affected by slope. The steeper the terrain slope is, the lower the
hazard of area is (Wu et al., 2015).
• If a cell is surrounded by higher cells, the water will be stuck in it.(Xiao et
al. 2017).
• The flow accumulation is calculated by a cumulative count of the number
of grids that naturally drain into outlets. High values of flow accumulation
indicate high concentration of the water and consequently high possibility
of flooding (Papaioannou et al., 2015).
• The region near the river is easy to be flooded. The distance to river is
calculated using the Euclidean distance to the closest river channel (Y.
Chen et al., 2015).
Factors that Effects Flood
• Digital elevation model can be used as perfect source to derive factors as
slope, altitude, flow accumulation, TWI (Arabameri et al., 2018).
• Flow accumulation, elevation, drainage density, land use, slope, and has
been used as flood susceptibility factors(Mahmoud and Gan, 2018).
• TWI, slope percent, altitude, drainage density, land use have been found as
flood conditioning factors in Khiyav-Chai watershed in Iran(Choubin et al.,
2018).
• Reducing channel roughness in terms of hydrodynamic friction results in
faster stream flow velocities and less infiltration(Elkhrachy, 2015).
• If the drainage network is dense at any area, it will be a good indicator to
high flow accumulation path and more likely to get flooded (Islam and
Sado, 2000).
• Elevation, slope, TWI have been used for urban flood hazard zoning in
Argentina(Lutz and Fernandez, 2010).
Factors that Effects Flood
• The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was developed by Prof. Thomas L.
Saaty in the late 1970s and originally was applied to the marketing sector
(Dolan et al. 1987).
• Saaty (2008) proposed a procedure that involves arranging variables in a
hierarchy from which the best possible solution is determined via pairwise
comparison.
• AHP is one of the most popular methods in applying a multi criteria
decision support system to optimize decision making(Mahmoud and Gan,
2018).
• Application of AHP and GIS in an integrated manner has been successful in
various studies such as flood susceptibility mapping (Kazakis et al., 2015).
• AHP has been used widely in recent decades for flood hazard susceptibility
modelling (Masselink et al., 2017; Keesstra et al., 2018).
AHP
Summary table
Sl.
No.
Author Title Jrnl/Conf.
name(year)
Contribution
1 K. Sowmya ,C. M. John,
N. K. Shrivasthava
Urban flood vulnerability
zoning of Cochin City,
southwest coast of India,
using remote sensing and
GIS
Nat Hazards
(2015)
Identified various zones vulnerable to
urban flood in Cochin City
2 Shivaprasad Sharma SV,
Parth Sarathi Roy,
Chakravarthi V,
Srinivasarao G &
Bhanumurthy V
Extraction of detailed level
flood hazard zones using
multi-temporal historical
satellite data-sets –
a case study of Kopili River
Basin, Assam, India
Geomatics,
Natural Hazards
And Risk (2017)
Utilized the historical spatial data for
identifying villages falling in various
flood hazard severity zones
3 Shivaprasad Sharma S V,
Parth Sarathi Roy,
Chakravarthi V &
Srinivasa Rao G
Flood risk assessment using
multi-criteria analysis:
a case study from Kopili
River Basin, Assam, India
Geomatics,
Natural Hazards
And Risk(2018)
Described the effective utilization
of geospatial techniques for disaster
risk reduction
4 C.M. Bhatt & G.S. Rao Ganga floods of 2010 in
Uttar Pradesh, north
India: a perspective analysis
using satellite remote
sensing data
Geomatics,
Natural Hazards
And Risk(2016)
Generated flood hydrograph for five
gauge stations, anticipated the areas
to be affected in situations where
satellite images cannot be
effectively utilized
Summary table
Sl.
No.
Author Title Jrnl/Conf.
name(year)
Contribution
5 Arpit Aggarwal, Sanjay K.
Jain, Anil K. Lohani &
Neha Jain
Glacial lake outburst flood
risk assessment using
combined approaches of
remote sensing, GIS and
dam break modelling
Geomatics,
Natural Hazards
and Risk(2016)
Focuses on accurate mapping of the
glaciers and glacial lakes using
multispectral satellite images of
landsat and indian remote
sensing satellites
6 Dhruvesh P. Patel &
Prashant K. Srivastava
Flood Hazards Mitigation
Analysis Using Remote
Sensing and GIS:
Correspondence with Town
Planning Scheme
Water Resource
Manage (2013)
Identified the flood susceptible area
of the various zones, detected the
most vulnerable areas in terms of
submergence
7 Sanjay K. Jain • Anil K.
Lohani • R. D. Singh •
Anju Chaudhary •
L. N. Thakural
Glacial lakes and glacial lake
outburst flood in a
Himalayan basin using
remote sensing and GIS
Nat Hazards
(2012)
In the study basin, total lakes found
and flood peaks for those lakes are
determined
8 M. V. Aswathy & H. Vijith
& R. Satheesh
Factors influencing the
sinuosity of Pannagon River,
Kottayam, Kerala, India: An
assessment using remote
sensing and GIS
Environ Monit
Assess (2008)
The controls on the channel
morphology of the pannagon
river has been understood
Summary table
Sl.
No.
Author Title Jrnl/Conf.
name(year)
Contribution
9 Mahmoud, Shereif H.
Gan, Thian Yew
Multi-criteria approach to
develop flood susceptibility
maps in arid regions of
Middle East
Journal of Cleaner
Production
(2018)
Used potential physical risk factors to
generate flood susceptibility map for
the study area
10 R. Chacko, A.T. Kulkarni
and T.I. Eldho
Urban coastal flood
inundation modelling: a case
study of Thane City, India
ISH Journal of
Hydraulic
Engineering
(2012)
Flood simulation of a coastal urban
city is presented using the integrated
approach of hydrological model,
remote sensing and GIS
11 Muthusamy Seenirajan,
Muthusamy Natarajan,
Ramasamy Thangaraj,
Murugesan Bagyaraj
Study and Analysis of
Chennai Flood 2015 Using
GIS and Multicriteria
Technique
Journal of
Geographic
Information
System
(2017)
Generated a flood risk map in
accordance to the flood hazard
regions in chennai
12 George P. Karatzas,
Nektarios N. Kourgialas
Flood management and a
GIS modelling method to
assess flood-hazard areas —
a case study Flood
management and a GIS
modelling method to assess
flood-hazard areas — a case
study
Hydrological
Sciences Journal
(2011)
Has divided koliaris river basin into
five regions characterized by
different degrees of flood hazard
ranging from very low to very high
Summary table
Sl.
No.
Author Title Jrnl/Conf.
name(year)
Contribution
13 Prasad, N. N.Rama
Narayanan, Priya
Vulnerability assessment of
flood-affected locations of
Bangalore by using multi-
criteria evaluation
Annals of GIS
(2016)
Has created a vulnerability map using
the topographical layers by MCE
within the city limits of Bangalore
and categorize the flooded locations
14 Dewan, Ashraf M.
Kabir, Humayun
Islam, M. Monirul
Kumamoto, T.
Nishigaki, M.
Delineating flood risk areas
in greater dhaka of
bangladesh using
geoinformatics
Georisk
(2007)
Has presented the results of a study to
determine the flood hazard and risk
areas in Greater Dhaka using
integrated GIS and remote sensing
techniques. The greatest flood of
1998 was considered for the analysis
15 Weerasinghe, Kumari M.
Gehrels, Hans
Arambepola, N. M.S.I.
Vajja, Hari Prasad
Herath, J. M.K.
Atapattu, K. B.
Qualitative Flood Risk
assessment for the Western
Province of Sri Lanka
Procedia
Engineering
(2018)
Used weighted overlaying for flood
risk zoning and proposed flood
mitigation measures
16 Fernández, D. S.
Lutz, M. A.
Urban flood hazard zoning
in Tucumán Province,
Argentina, using GIS and
multicriteria decision
analysis
Engineering
Geology
(2010)
Used multi-criteria AHP with few
risk factors for urban flood zoning
• Allahabad district has been affected by flood earlier in this decade, which
should lead to detailed analysis of its recent hazard zones.
• Physical factors need to be evaluated which are responsible for flooding in
Prayagraj district.
• No risk assessment work has been done in study area by AHP multi-criteria
decision making (MCDM).
Research gap
• To identify flood vulnerable zones in the study area.
• To identify the area of land use land cover which is effected by the flood.
• To determine the factors that causes flooding.
• To create the flood risk map by using AHP.
Objectives
Study area
• Survey of India topographical maps of Prayagraj district
• SRTM DEM of 30m spatial resolution
• Entry ID: SRTM 1N24E081V3, SRTM 1N24E081V3, SRTM
1N24E081V3 and SRTM 1N24E081V3
• Publication Date: 23-SEP-14
• Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS imageries of 30m spatial resolution
• LC08_L1TP_143042_20160414_20170326_01_T1 and
LC08_L1TP_143043_20160820_20180524_01_T1 from year 2016 as
dry and wet season images
Data Required
• Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS imageries
• LC08_L1TP_143042_20170316_20170328_01_T1 and
LC08_L1TP_143043_20170908_20170926_01_T1 from year 2017 as
dry and wet season images
• LC08_L1TP_143042_20180303_20180319_01_T1 and
LC08_L1TP_143043_20181029_20181115_01_T1 from year 2018 as
dry and wet season images
Data Required
• Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 1
• Collection of Landsat data of dry and wet season for 3 years
• Stacking and mosaicking of images
• Clipping of AOI using ArcGIS
• Supervised image classification for water identification
• Reclassification and subtraction for each year
• Identification of waterlogged area
Objective 1 Methodology
Objective 1 Methodology Flowchart
Landsat images of dry and wet seasons of year 2016,
2017 and 2018
Stacking & mosaicking
Clipping
Supervised image classification for water identification
Delineation of water logged area
Reclassify and Subtraction
• Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 2
• Identified waterlog images of 3 years
• Union of waterlog raster layers
• Reclassification for single class waterlog
• Conversion from raster to polygon feature
• Editing of polygon for waterlog area feature
• Generation of LULC map through image classification
• Identification of LULC raster affected by flood
• Area calculation of each LULC class that is affected by the flood
Objective 2 Methodology
Objective 2 Methodology Flowchart
Water logged raster from year 2016, 2017
and 2018
Generation of LULC map through
image classification
Area calculation of each LULC class that
is affected by the flood
Union of three year waterlog layers
Raster to Polygon conversion and editing
Reclassification
• Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 3
• Collection of SRTM data for study area
• Mosaic of 4 DEM files
• Clipping of Prayagraj district AOI
• Projection of DEM
• Assessment of elevation of study area
• Generating of slope
• Generating of flow accumulation
• Generating of TWI
• Generating of drainage density
• Generating of roughness
• Generating of LULC map
Objective 3 Methodology
Objective 3 Methodology Flowchart
DEM data from SRTM
Mosaicking and clipping
Elevation
map
Slope
map
Drainage
density
map
TWIFlow
accumulation
Roughness
map
Projection from GCS to PCS
Objective 3 Methodology Flowchart
LULC
map
Multispectral Image from Landsat 8
from dry season of 2018
Stacking, Mosaicking and
clipping with AOI
Anderson
Classification
• Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 4
• Finalizing weightage for each factor through reclassification
• Pairwise comparison of all the factors
• AHP comparison matrix preparation
• Priority and weight determination
• Generating of flood risk layer through overlaying
Objective 4 Methodology
Objective 4 Methodology Flowchart
Weight assignment of each factor through reclassification
Pairwise comparison of all factors
AHP comparison matrix and weight calculation
Flood risk layer generate through overlaying
Elevation
map
Slope
map
Drainage
density
map
TWI
map
Flow
accumulation
map
Roughness
map
LULC
map
• All the proceeding for objective 1 methodology have been performed in
step-by-step manner as initially proposed.
• Waterlogged area in three different years i.e. 2016, 2017 and 2018 have
been identified.
• The mainly effected areas as hazard zones are easily observable at the
near proximity of Ganga and Tauns river.
Result and Discussion
• Waterlogging area detail
Result and Discussion
Years Area of waterlog (Km2)
2016 591.74
2017 131.69
2018 47.31
• 3 years of waterlogging have given a big picture for hazard prone zones.
• It is easily observable that majority of hazard prone zones have a good
proximity with main channels and closed water bodies.
• Other areas with dense spots of waterlogging areas are observable
between the main channels as Yamuna and Tauns.
• The union of three years of waterlog identification is capable of giving a
very good assessment information about hazard zones which can be used
further for identifying flood effected land covers and also verifying risk
prediction result.
Result and Discussion
• For 2nd objective, union of 3 years of waterlogging have been used for the
extraction of hazard area feature.
• Land cover areas as flood prone zones have been identified.
• The result of this objective will help to assess the damage that can be
caused by the flood as it gives the LULC classes that get submerged
during the rainy season.
• Using the hazard area feature of three years of waterlog raster has given a
primary way of assessing recent time hazard conditions over the study
area.
Result and Discussion
• LU/LC of study area affected by flooding
Result and Discussion
Land cover Area affected (km2)
Percentage of
Submerged Land
Agriculture 232.25 37.60
Soil area 186.92 30.25
Other fallow land 103.35 16.71
Sand 54.48 8.81
Built up area 25.93 4.20
Open scrub land 15.00 2.43
Forest 0.56 0.0009
SUM 618.49 100
• It has been observed and also has been identified that agriculture followed
by soil area are the worst effected land covers.
• The other fallow land is the next immediate major land cover effected by
waterlog with more than 100 sq km. area span.
• The result of this objective gives necessary estimation of prioritized
LULC areas under the demand of better care for waterlogging disaster.
• More than 25 sq km. area of developed areas as built up ones are there
under hazard effect, which are sparsely located over study area.
Result and Discussion
• LULC of tehsils effected by flooding (in sq. km.)
Result and Discussion
LULC Allahabad Karchana Karaon Meja Saraon Phulpur Handia Bara
Agriculture 15.06 28.59 24.72 25.88 37.89 23.36 19.04 57.69
Soil area 27.66 19.25 16.13 22.27 26.58 20.65 15.51 38.85
Other
fallow
10.20 22.37 8.18 12.77 4.33 19.33 7.29 18.89
Sand 10.44 8.23 0.02 4.10 7.15 18.01 3.53 3.00
Built up
Area
8.39 3.45 0.386 1.52 3.93 4.82 1.83 1.61
Open
Scrub
0.33 1.92 2.14 5.69 0.06 0.88 0.05 3.93
Forest 0 0.02 0.20 0.22 0 0 0.01 0.10
SUM 72.08 83.83 51.78 72.45 79.94 87.05 47.26 124.07
• As the next part of work, tehsil wise distribution of affected LULC have
been done for detailed analysis.
• This result shows Bara, Phulpur and Karchana as top three tehsils which
are effected by flooding.
• Bara, followed by Saraon and Karchana tehsils has got more amount of
agricultural areas effected by flood.
• Another part of this result reveals Bara, followed by Allahabad and
Saraon tehsils has got major distribution of affected soil area or sparsely
vegetated land covers.
• Allahabad has got more effected built up areas than other tehsils.
Result and Discussion
• Seven factors have been considered as risk factors
• Elevation map, a high risk factor at low magnitude
• Slope map, a high risk factor at low magnitude
• TWI map, a high risk factor high magnitude
• Drainage density map, a high risk factor at high magnitude
• Roughness map, a high risk factor at low magnitude
• Flow accumulation map, a high risk factor at high magnitude
• Land Use Land Cover map, gives high risk regions for built up area
and low risk region for forest
Result and Discussion
• AHP pairwise comparison have been done with 21 pairwise comparisons.
• Flow accumulation, TWI and drainage density have been given strong to
extreme importance in pairwise comparisons with slope and LULC.
• Pairwise comparison and normalized matrix have been formed.
• Consistency and priority vector have been obtained.
• Weightage assigning for criteria classes have been done in scale 1-10.
• Five factors were derived with four reclassified different impact classes of
weightages other than slope and LULC.
Result and Discussion
• AHP pairwise comparison matrix
Result and Discussion
Flow
accumulation
TWI Drainage
density
Elevation Roughness Slope LULC
Flow
accumulation
1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 8.00 9.00
TWI 0.50 1.00 2.00 3.00 5.00 7.00 8.00
Drainage
density
0.33 0.50 1.00 3.00 4.00 6.00 7.00
Elevation 0.25 0.33 0.33 1.00 3.00 5.00 6.00
Roughness 0.20 0.20 0.25 0.33 1.00 4.00 5.00
Slope 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.25 1.00 2.00
LULC 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.50 1.00
• AHP normalized matrix
Result and Discussion
Flow
accumulation
TWI Drainage
density
Elevation Roughness Slope LULC
Flow
accumulation
0.40 0.46 0.44 0.34 0.27 0.25 0.24
TWI 0.20 0.23 0.29 0.26 0.27 0.22 0.21
Drainage
density
0.13 0.12 0.15 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.18
Elevation 0.10 0.08 0.05 0.09 0.16 0.16 0.16
Roughness 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.13 0.13
Slope 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.05
LULC 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03
• AHP Consistency Index (CI) and Consistency Ratio (CR)
CI =
𝜆 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝑛
𝑛 − 1
Where, 𝜆 𝑚𝑎𝑥 is the principal Eigen value and n is the number of factors
𝐶𝑅 =
𝐶𝐼
𝑅𝐼
Where, permissible inconsistency is less than 0.1 or 10%
Random Index is obtainable from table by Prof. Thomas L. Saaty,
Result and Discussion
n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
RI 0 0 0.58 0.9 1.12 1.24 1.32 1.41 1.45 1.49
• Weightage determination of factors(While, CR = 5.64% < 10%)
Result and Discussion
Criteria Weight
Flow accumulation 0.347
TWI 0.245
Drainage density 0.181
Elevation 0.110
Roughness 0.066
Slope 0.030
LULC 0.022
• Weightage assigning for factor classes in 1-10 scale
Result and Discussion
Factor Classes Weightage
Flow
acaccumulation
<5,000 2
5,000-50,000 4
50,000-100,000 8
>100,000 10
TWI <1.5 1
1.5-2.5 3
2.5-3.5 7
>3.5 10
Drainage density <0.6 2
0.6-0.9 5
0.9-1.2 8
>1.2 10
• Weightage assigning for factor classes in 1-10 scale
Result and Discussion
Factor Classes Weightage
Elevation 47-88 10
88-95 5
95-105 3
105-382 1
Roughness <0.3 10
0.3-0.4 8
0.4-0.6 4
>0.6 2
Slope 0-1 10
1-2.5 6
2.5-7.5 4
7.5-16.5 2
>16.5 1
• Weightage assigning for factor classes in 1-10 scale
Result and Discussion
Factor Classes Weightage
LULC Water 10
Built up 7
Open scrub + Sand 5
Agriculture + Other fallow land 3
Forest + Soil area 1
• It have been quite evident how much flow accumulation, TWI and
drainage density have more importance in risk mapping.
• Elevation has been set with moderate priority because of its specific
classes but large spanning over study area.
• LULC have been the least priority layer for the case of risk estimation.
• Finally the flood risk index map has been generated through weighted
sum overlaying.
Result and Discussion
• Determining the Flood risk layer
Flood Risk Index = 𝑖=1
𝑛
𝑃𝑖 𝑊𝑖
where, Pi is the rating of the parameter in each point
Wi is the weight of each parameter
n is the number of the criteria
FRI = Flow accumulation x 0.347 + TWI x 0.245 +
Drainage density x 0.181 + Elevation x 0.110 +
Roughness x 0.066 + Slope x 0.030 + LULC x
0.021
Result and Discussion
• The risk map has been generated with 5 different classes.
• High and moderate risk zones have been subjected to verification with the
previously generated hazard layer.
• Overlaying hazard layer with appropriate transparency have been done for
verification of risk mapping.
• Verified high risk areas are showing very good alignment with hazard
areas while has its good proximity with the main channels of Ganga,
Yamuna, Tauns and Belan.
Result and Discussion
• Major portions that is actually effected by flood have been identified.
• Through this work the majorly effected LULC have been identified.
• As irrigated lands and soil areas are severely affected and can be located
distant from main channels, these areas needs effective remedial steps for
disaster risk management.
• For major sand area water may have got down in summer, thus subjected
to flooding in monsoon.
• Allahabad followed by Phulpur and Saraon tehsils needs good care for
planning the span of built up or developed areas.
Conclusions
• Major factors that are effecting the flood situation have been identified.
• Flood risk factors as flow accumulation, topographic wetness index,
drainage density and elevation can be very useful for flood risk estimate
over any similar type of study area.
• Flood risk zone mapping over study area has been done through AHP,
which has been validated against the waterlogging hazard layer.
• The decision making study with AHP demands more than six factors for
disaster risk estimation.
• A better result with AHP may demand inclusion of more potential factor
as well as better comparisons by expert consultant of hydrology.
Conclusions
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Presentation flood

  • 1. Thesis Presentation on GIS and Remote Sensing based Study of Flood Risk Management by Amit Kumar Saha 2017GI12 M.Tech IVth Sem GIS Cell Under the supervision of Dr. Sonam Agrawal Assistant Professor GIS Cell GIS Cell Motilal Nehru National Institute of Technology Allahabad
  • 2. • Introduction • Literature review • Summary table • Research gap • Research objectives • Study area • Data Required • Methodology • Result and Discussion • Conclusions • References Contents
  • 3. • Flood is an overflow of water that submerges usually dry area. • Flood is a hydrological and meteorological disaster. • Flood occurs due to overflow of water bodies by high precipitation and snow melt. • Water flow rate change in terms of seasons and path of flow are the other usual causes of flooding. • There are different types of floods as flash flood ,river flood , coastal flood, urban flood. • Flood is one of the most the most re-occurring natural hazard in the states of India like Bihar, Assam, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Uttarakhand. • Remote sensing and GIS plays an important role in mapping, monitoring and providing spatial database for flood related studies. • A recent catastrophic flood event in Kerala has taken more than 400 lives and affected a total of more than a million people. • This work is oriented towards waterlog flood disaster in the study area. Introduction
  • 4. • Flood • GIS analysis • Multi Criteria Analysis • Land use land cover • Factors that Effects Flood • Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) Literature review
  • 5. • Flood is one of the common hydrological phenomena which is to a large extent unpredictable and uncontrollable (Seenirajanet et al., 2017). • Floods are one of the most common and devastating hydro meteorological hazards worldwide, causing both economic losses and human fatalities (González-Arqueros et al., 2018). • The main causes of changes in flood risk are climatic change, changes in land use and other anthropogenic interventions(George P. Karatzas, 2011). • Recently, a study of 616 cities around the world indicated that floods endanger more cities than any other natural hazard, followed by earthquakes and storms(Xiao et al., 2017). • India is one of the most flood-prone country in the world after Bangladesh, and roughly one eighth of the country’s geographical area, is prone to floods (Singh and Kumar, 2017). • The extremely long series of floodless years may encourage the locals to downplay the flood damage, leading to an overall neglect in the maintenance of drainage ways(Ghoneim and Foody, 2013). Flood
  • 6. • Applications of geospatial science allow analysis on four stages in flood management: flood prediction, flood preparation, flood prevention and flood damage assessment(Wan and Billa, 2018). • Utilization of recent technologies, such as the Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and remote sensing, in developing flood hazard maps is gaining increasing attention in the last couple of decades(Dawod et al., 2013). • Areas with higher flooding susceptibility based on input factors can be defined by means of the weighted overlay technique in GIS(González- Arqueros et al., 2018). • The relative importance of the criteria can be estimated through fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method followed by ordered weighted averaging(Xiao,Yi et al.,2017). GIS analysis
  • 7. • Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) is a quantitative approach for integrating multiple criteria layers for risk or vulnerability assessment(Luu et al., 2018; Tang et al.,2018). • MCA is a decision-making tool developed for solving complex multi- criteria problems that include qualitative and/or quantitative aspects of the problem(Roy, Chakravarthi et al.,2018). • Multi Criteria Analysis(MCA) method includes the ideas of ranking and weighting with the knowledge of experts is an index-based method which provides an effective way of estimating the flood hazard(Xiao et al., 2017). • Flood risk assessment is realized by the product of flood hazard zonation and the sum of vulnerabilities derived from various vulnerability indicators and criteria followed in deducing the social, infrastructure and land use parameters, (Roy, Chakravarthi et al.,2018) represented by Flood risk assessment = Hazard X f {Social, Infrastructure, Land use Vulnerabilities} Multi Criteria Analysis
  • 8. LULC • Land cover is the physical material at the surface of the earth. Land covers include grass, asphalt, trees, bare ground, water, etc. (Cherqui et al., 2015). • This is the manner in which human beings employ the land and its resources (Hong et al., 2017). • This description of the appearance of the landscape and is generally classified by the amount and type of vegetation, which is a reflection of its use, environment, cultivation and seasonal phenology. Land cover is other essential factor influences on runoff (Alexakis et al., 2014). • Human activity have caused a net loss of 7 to 11million sq.km of forest in the past 300 years, thus reducing the forest cover worldwide (Foley et al., 2005). • Many land-use practices, such as fuel-wood collection, forest grazing, and road expansion can degrade forest ecosystem conditions even without changing forest area (Nepstad et al., 1999).
  • 9. • Elevation is the fundamental presentation of the topographic characteristic. In many previous studies on flood risk assessment, DEM was directly used as an assessment layer (Sarker and Sivertun, 2011). • Slope indicates a degree of elevation variability in adjacent grid cells. The flood is affected by slope. The steeper the terrain slope is, the lower the hazard of area is (Wu et al., 2015). • If a cell is surrounded by higher cells, the water will be stuck in it.(Xiao et al. 2017). • The flow accumulation is calculated by a cumulative count of the number of grids that naturally drain into outlets. High values of flow accumulation indicate high concentration of the water and consequently high possibility of flooding (Papaioannou et al., 2015). • The region near the river is easy to be flooded. The distance to river is calculated using the Euclidean distance to the closest river channel (Y. Chen et al., 2015). Factors that Effects Flood
  • 10. • Digital elevation model can be used as perfect source to derive factors as slope, altitude, flow accumulation, TWI (Arabameri et al., 2018). • Flow accumulation, elevation, drainage density, land use, slope, and has been used as flood susceptibility factors(Mahmoud and Gan, 2018). • TWI, slope percent, altitude, drainage density, land use have been found as flood conditioning factors in Khiyav-Chai watershed in Iran(Choubin et al., 2018). • Reducing channel roughness in terms of hydrodynamic friction results in faster stream flow velocities and less infiltration(Elkhrachy, 2015). • If the drainage network is dense at any area, it will be a good indicator to high flow accumulation path and more likely to get flooded (Islam and Sado, 2000). • Elevation, slope, TWI have been used for urban flood hazard zoning in Argentina(Lutz and Fernandez, 2010). Factors that Effects Flood
  • 11. • The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was developed by Prof. Thomas L. Saaty in the late 1970s and originally was applied to the marketing sector (Dolan et al. 1987). • Saaty (2008) proposed a procedure that involves arranging variables in a hierarchy from which the best possible solution is determined via pairwise comparison. • AHP is one of the most popular methods in applying a multi criteria decision support system to optimize decision making(Mahmoud and Gan, 2018). • Application of AHP and GIS in an integrated manner has been successful in various studies such as flood susceptibility mapping (Kazakis et al., 2015). • AHP has been used widely in recent decades for flood hazard susceptibility modelling (Masselink et al., 2017; Keesstra et al., 2018). AHP
  • 12. Summary table Sl. No. Author Title Jrnl/Conf. name(year) Contribution 1 K. Sowmya ,C. M. John, N. K. Shrivasthava Urban flood vulnerability zoning of Cochin City, southwest coast of India, using remote sensing and GIS Nat Hazards (2015) Identified various zones vulnerable to urban flood in Cochin City 2 Shivaprasad Sharma SV, Parth Sarathi Roy, Chakravarthi V, Srinivasarao G & Bhanumurthy V Extraction of detailed level flood hazard zones using multi-temporal historical satellite data-sets – a case study of Kopili River Basin, Assam, India Geomatics, Natural Hazards And Risk (2017) Utilized the historical spatial data for identifying villages falling in various flood hazard severity zones 3 Shivaprasad Sharma S V, Parth Sarathi Roy, Chakravarthi V & Srinivasa Rao G Flood risk assessment using multi-criteria analysis: a case study from Kopili River Basin, Assam, India Geomatics, Natural Hazards And Risk(2018) Described the effective utilization of geospatial techniques for disaster risk reduction 4 C.M. Bhatt & G.S. Rao Ganga floods of 2010 in Uttar Pradesh, north India: a perspective analysis using satellite remote sensing data Geomatics, Natural Hazards And Risk(2016) Generated flood hydrograph for five gauge stations, anticipated the areas to be affected in situations where satellite images cannot be effectively utilized
  • 13. Summary table Sl. No. Author Title Jrnl/Conf. name(year) Contribution 5 Arpit Aggarwal, Sanjay K. Jain, Anil K. Lohani & Neha Jain Glacial lake outburst flood risk assessment using combined approaches of remote sensing, GIS and dam break modelling Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk(2016) Focuses on accurate mapping of the glaciers and glacial lakes using multispectral satellite images of landsat and indian remote sensing satellites 6 Dhruvesh P. Patel & Prashant K. Srivastava Flood Hazards Mitigation Analysis Using Remote Sensing and GIS: Correspondence with Town Planning Scheme Water Resource Manage (2013) Identified the flood susceptible area of the various zones, detected the most vulnerable areas in terms of submergence 7 Sanjay K. Jain • Anil K. Lohani • R. D. Singh • Anju Chaudhary • L. N. Thakural Glacial lakes and glacial lake outburst flood in a Himalayan basin using remote sensing and GIS Nat Hazards (2012) In the study basin, total lakes found and flood peaks for those lakes are determined 8 M. V. Aswathy & H. Vijith & R. Satheesh Factors influencing the sinuosity of Pannagon River, Kottayam, Kerala, India: An assessment using remote sensing and GIS Environ Monit Assess (2008) The controls on the channel morphology of the pannagon river has been understood
  • 14. Summary table Sl. No. Author Title Jrnl/Conf. name(year) Contribution 9 Mahmoud, Shereif H. Gan, Thian Yew Multi-criteria approach to develop flood susceptibility maps in arid regions of Middle East Journal of Cleaner Production (2018) Used potential physical risk factors to generate flood susceptibility map for the study area 10 R. Chacko, A.T. Kulkarni and T.I. Eldho Urban coastal flood inundation modelling: a case study of Thane City, India ISH Journal of Hydraulic Engineering (2012) Flood simulation of a coastal urban city is presented using the integrated approach of hydrological model, remote sensing and GIS 11 Muthusamy Seenirajan, Muthusamy Natarajan, Ramasamy Thangaraj, Murugesan Bagyaraj Study and Analysis of Chennai Flood 2015 Using GIS and Multicriteria Technique Journal of Geographic Information System (2017) Generated a flood risk map in accordance to the flood hazard regions in chennai 12 George P. Karatzas, Nektarios N. Kourgialas Flood management and a GIS modelling method to assess flood-hazard areas — a case study Flood management and a GIS modelling method to assess flood-hazard areas — a case study Hydrological Sciences Journal (2011) Has divided koliaris river basin into five regions characterized by different degrees of flood hazard ranging from very low to very high
  • 15. Summary table Sl. No. Author Title Jrnl/Conf. name(year) Contribution 13 Prasad, N. N.Rama Narayanan, Priya Vulnerability assessment of flood-affected locations of Bangalore by using multi- criteria evaluation Annals of GIS (2016) Has created a vulnerability map using the topographical layers by MCE within the city limits of Bangalore and categorize the flooded locations 14 Dewan, Ashraf M. Kabir, Humayun Islam, M. Monirul Kumamoto, T. Nishigaki, M. Delineating flood risk areas in greater dhaka of bangladesh using geoinformatics Georisk (2007) Has presented the results of a study to determine the flood hazard and risk areas in Greater Dhaka using integrated GIS and remote sensing techniques. The greatest flood of 1998 was considered for the analysis 15 Weerasinghe, Kumari M. Gehrels, Hans Arambepola, N. M.S.I. Vajja, Hari Prasad Herath, J. M.K. Atapattu, K. B. Qualitative Flood Risk assessment for the Western Province of Sri Lanka Procedia Engineering (2018) Used weighted overlaying for flood risk zoning and proposed flood mitigation measures 16 Fernández, D. S. Lutz, M. A. Urban flood hazard zoning in Tucumán Province, Argentina, using GIS and multicriteria decision analysis Engineering Geology (2010) Used multi-criteria AHP with few risk factors for urban flood zoning
  • 16. • Allahabad district has been affected by flood earlier in this decade, which should lead to detailed analysis of its recent hazard zones. • Physical factors need to be evaluated which are responsible for flooding in Prayagraj district. • No risk assessment work has been done in study area by AHP multi-criteria decision making (MCDM). Research gap
  • 17. • To identify flood vulnerable zones in the study area. • To identify the area of land use land cover which is effected by the flood. • To determine the factors that causes flooding. • To create the flood risk map by using AHP. Objectives
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. • Survey of India topographical maps of Prayagraj district • SRTM DEM of 30m spatial resolution • Entry ID: SRTM 1N24E081V3, SRTM 1N24E081V3, SRTM 1N24E081V3 and SRTM 1N24E081V3 • Publication Date: 23-SEP-14 • Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS imageries of 30m spatial resolution • LC08_L1TP_143042_20160414_20170326_01_T1 and LC08_L1TP_143043_20160820_20180524_01_T1 from year 2016 as dry and wet season images Data Required
  • 22. • Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS imageries • LC08_L1TP_143042_20170316_20170328_01_T1 and LC08_L1TP_143043_20170908_20170926_01_T1 from year 2017 as dry and wet season images • LC08_L1TP_143042_20180303_20180319_01_T1 and LC08_L1TP_143043_20181029_20181115_01_T1 from year 2018 as dry and wet season images Data Required
  • 23. • Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 1 • Collection of Landsat data of dry and wet season for 3 years • Stacking and mosaicking of images • Clipping of AOI using ArcGIS • Supervised image classification for water identification • Reclassification and subtraction for each year • Identification of waterlogged area Objective 1 Methodology
  • 24. Objective 1 Methodology Flowchart Landsat images of dry and wet seasons of year 2016, 2017 and 2018 Stacking & mosaicking Clipping Supervised image classification for water identification Delineation of water logged area Reclassify and Subtraction
  • 25. • Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 2 • Identified waterlog images of 3 years • Union of waterlog raster layers • Reclassification for single class waterlog • Conversion from raster to polygon feature • Editing of polygon for waterlog area feature • Generation of LULC map through image classification • Identification of LULC raster affected by flood • Area calculation of each LULC class that is affected by the flood Objective 2 Methodology
  • 26. Objective 2 Methodology Flowchart Water logged raster from year 2016, 2017 and 2018 Generation of LULC map through image classification Area calculation of each LULC class that is affected by the flood Union of three year waterlog layers Raster to Polygon conversion and editing Reclassification
  • 27. • Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 3 • Collection of SRTM data for study area • Mosaic of 4 DEM files • Clipping of Prayagraj district AOI • Projection of DEM • Assessment of elevation of study area • Generating of slope • Generating of flow accumulation • Generating of TWI • Generating of drainage density • Generating of roughness • Generating of LULC map Objective 3 Methodology
  • 28. Objective 3 Methodology Flowchart DEM data from SRTM Mosaicking and clipping Elevation map Slope map Drainage density map TWIFlow accumulation Roughness map Projection from GCS to PCS
  • 29. Objective 3 Methodology Flowchart LULC map Multispectral Image from Landsat 8 from dry season of 2018 Stacking, Mosaicking and clipping with AOI Anderson Classification
  • 30. • Following tasks are performed to achieve objective 4 • Finalizing weightage for each factor through reclassification • Pairwise comparison of all the factors • AHP comparison matrix preparation • Priority and weight determination • Generating of flood risk layer through overlaying Objective 4 Methodology
  • 31. Objective 4 Methodology Flowchart Weight assignment of each factor through reclassification Pairwise comparison of all factors AHP comparison matrix and weight calculation Flood risk layer generate through overlaying Elevation map Slope map Drainage density map TWI map Flow accumulation map Roughness map LULC map
  • 32. • All the proceeding for objective 1 methodology have been performed in step-by-step manner as initially proposed. • Waterlogged area in three different years i.e. 2016, 2017 and 2018 have been identified. • The mainly effected areas as hazard zones are easily observable at the near proximity of Ganga and Tauns river. Result and Discussion
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. • Waterlogging area detail Result and Discussion Years Area of waterlog (Km2) 2016 591.74 2017 131.69 2018 47.31
  • 37.
  • 38. • 3 years of waterlogging have given a big picture for hazard prone zones. • It is easily observable that majority of hazard prone zones have a good proximity with main channels and closed water bodies. • Other areas with dense spots of waterlogging areas are observable between the main channels as Yamuna and Tauns. • The union of three years of waterlog identification is capable of giving a very good assessment information about hazard zones which can be used further for identifying flood effected land covers and also verifying risk prediction result. Result and Discussion
  • 39. • For 2nd objective, union of 3 years of waterlogging have been used for the extraction of hazard area feature. • Land cover areas as flood prone zones have been identified. • The result of this objective will help to assess the damage that can be caused by the flood as it gives the LULC classes that get submerged during the rainy season. • Using the hazard area feature of three years of waterlog raster has given a primary way of assessing recent time hazard conditions over the study area. Result and Discussion
  • 40.
  • 41. • LU/LC of study area affected by flooding Result and Discussion Land cover Area affected (km2) Percentage of Submerged Land Agriculture 232.25 37.60 Soil area 186.92 30.25 Other fallow land 103.35 16.71 Sand 54.48 8.81 Built up area 25.93 4.20 Open scrub land 15.00 2.43 Forest 0.56 0.0009 SUM 618.49 100
  • 42. • It has been observed and also has been identified that agriculture followed by soil area are the worst effected land covers. • The other fallow land is the next immediate major land cover effected by waterlog with more than 100 sq km. area span. • The result of this objective gives necessary estimation of prioritized LULC areas under the demand of better care for waterlogging disaster. • More than 25 sq km. area of developed areas as built up ones are there under hazard effect, which are sparsely located over study area. Result and Discussion
  • 43. • LULC of tehsils effected by flooding (in sq. km.) Result and Discussion LULC Allahabad Karchana Karaon Meja Saraon Phulpur Handia Bara Agriculture 15.06 28.59 24.72 25.88 37.89 23.36 19.04 57.69 Soil area 27.66 19.25 16.13 22.27 26.58 20.65 15.51 38.85 Other fallow 10.20 22.37 8.18 12.77 4.33 19.33 7.29 18.89 Sand 10.44 8.23 0.02 4.10 7.15 18.01 3.53 3.00 Built up Area 8.39 3.45 0.386 1.52 3.93 4.82 1.83 1.61 Open Scrub 0.33 1.92 2.14 5.69 0.06 0.88 0.05 3.93 Forest 0 0.02 0.20 0.22 0 0 0.01 0.10 SUM 72.08 83.83 51.78 72.45 79.94 87.05 47.26 124.07
  • 44. • As the next part of work, tehsil wise distribution of affected LULC have been done for detailed analysis. • This result shows Bara, Phulpur and Karchana as top three tehsils which are effected by flooding. • Bara, followed by Saraon and Karchana tehsils has got more amount of agricultural areas effected by flood. • Another part of this result reveals Bara, followed by Allahabad and Saraon tehsils has got major distribution of affected soil area or sparsely vegetated land covers. • Allahabad has got more effected built up areas than other tehsils. Result and Discussion
  • 45. • Seven factors have been considered as risk factors • Elevation map, a high risk factor at low magnitude • Slope map, a high risk factor at low magnitude • TWI map, a high risk factor high magnitude • Drainage density map, a high risk factor at high magnitude • Roughness map, a high risk factor at low magnitude • Flow accumulation map, a high risk factor at high magnitude • Land Use Land Cover map, gives high risk regions for built up area and low risk region for forest Result and Discussion
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53. • AHP pairwise comparison have been done with 21 pairwise comparisons. • Flow accumulation, TWI and drainage density have been given strong to extreme importance in pairwise comparisons with slope and LULC. • Pairwise comparison and normalized matrix have been formed. • Consistency and priority vector have been obtained. • Weightage assigning for criteria classes have been done in scale 1-10. • Five factors were derived with four reclassified different impact classes of weightages other than slope and LULC. Result and Discussion
  • 54. • AHP pairwise comparison matrix Result and Discussion Flow accumulation TWI Drainage density Elevation Roughness Slope LULC Flow accumulation 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 8.00 9.00 TWI 0.50 1.00 2.00 3.00 5.00 7.00 8.00 Drainage density 0.33 0.50 1.00 3.00 4.00 6.00 7.00 Elevation 0.25 0.33 0.33 1.00 3.00 5.00 6.00 Roughness 0.20 0.20 0.25 0.33 1.00 4.00 5.00 Slope 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.25 1.00 2.00 LULC 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.50 1.00
  • 55. • AHP normalized matrix Result and Discussion Flow accumulation TWI Drainage density Elevation Roughness Slope LULC Flow accumulation 0.40 0.46 0.44 0.34 0.27 0.25 0.24 TWI 0.20 0.23 0.29 0.26 0.27 0.22 0.21 Drainage density 0.13 0.12 0.15 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.18 Elevation 0.10 0.08 0.05 0.09 0.16 0.16 0.16 Roughness 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.13 0.13 Slope 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.05 LULC 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03
  • 56. • AHP Consistency Index (CI) and Consistency Ratio (CR) CI = 𝜆 𝑚𝑎𝑥 − 𝑛 𝑛 − 1 Where, 𝜆 𝑚𝑎𝑥 is the principal Eigen value and n is the number of factors 𝐶𝑅 = 𝐶𝐼 𝑅𝐼 Where, permissible inconsistency is less than 0.1 or 10% Random Index is obtainable from table by Prof. Thomas L. Saaty, Result and Discussion n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RI 0 0 0.58 0.9 1.12 1.24 1.32 1.41 1.45 1.49
  • 57. • Weightage determination of factors(While, CR = 5.64% < 10%) Result and Discussion Criteria Weight Flow accumulation 0.347 TWI 0.245 Drainage density 0.181 Elevation 0.110 Roughness 0.066 Slope 0.030 LULC 0.022
  • 58. • Weightage assigning for factor classes in 1-10 scale Result and Discussion Factor Classes Weightage Flow acaccumulation <5,000 2 5,000-50,000 4 50,000-100,000 8 >100,000 10 TWI <1.5 1 1.5-2.5 3 2.5-3.5 7 >3.5 10 Drainage density <0.6 2 0.6-0.9 5 0.9-1.2 8 >1.2 10
  • 59. • Weightage assigning for factor classes in 1-10 scale Result and Discussion Factor Classes Weightage Elevation 47-88 10 88-95 5 95-105 3 105-382 1 Roughness <0.3 10 0.3-0.4 8 0.4-0.6 4 >0.6 2 Slope 0-1 10 1-2.5 6 2.5-7.5 4 7.5-16.5 2 >16.5 1
  • 60. • Weightage assigning for factor classes in 1-10 scale Result and Discussion Factor Classes Weightage LULC Water 10 Built up 7 Open scrub + Sand 5 Agriculture + Other fallow land 3 Forest + Soil area 1
  • 61. • It have been quite evident how much flow accumulation, TWI and drainage density have more importance in risk mapping. • Elevation has been set with moderate priority because of its specific classes but large spanning over study area. • LULC have been the least priority layer for the case of risk estimation. • Finally the flood risk index map has been generated through weighted sum overlaying. Result and Discussion
  • 62. • Determining the Flood risk layer Flood Risk Index = 𝑖=1 𝑛 𝑃𝑖 𝑊𝑖 where, Pi is the rating of the parameter in each point Wi is the weight of each parameter n is the number of the criteria FRI = Flow accumulation x 0.347 + TWI x 0.245 + Drainage density x 0.181 + Elevation x 0.110 + Roughness x 0.066 + Slope x 0.030 + LULC x 0.021 Result and Discussion
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. • The risk map has been generated with 5 different classes. • High and moderate risk zones have been subjected to verification with the previously generated hazard layer. • Overlaying hazard layer with appropriate transparency have been done for verification of risk mapping. • Verified high risk areas are showing very good alignment with hazard areas while has its good proximity with the main channels of Ganga, Yamuna, Tauns and Belan. Result and Discussion
  • 66. • Major portions that is actually effected by flood have been identified. • Through this work the majorly effected LULC have been identified. • As irrigated lands and soil areas are severely affected and can be located distant from main channels, these areas needs effective remedial steps for disaster risk management. • For major sand area water may have got down in summer, thus subjected to flooding in monsoon. • Allahabad followed by Phulpur and Saraon tehsils needs good care for planning the span of built up or developed areas. Conclusions
  • 67. • Major factors that are effecting the flood situation have been identified. • Flood risk factors as flow accumulation, topographic wetness index, drainage density and elevation can be very useful for flood risk estimate over any similar type of study area. • Flood risk zone mapping over study area has been done through AHP, which has been validated against the waterlogging hazard layer. • The decision making study with AHP demands more than six factors for disaster risk estimation. • A better result with AHP may demand inclusion of more potential factor as well as better comparisons by expert consultant of hydrology. Conclusions
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